TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,215
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,215 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over12c6,176$732 inLost-$731.5682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over7c2,150$157 inLost-$157.141735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick28cpaid-31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over6c1,807$116 inLost-$115.762450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over11c1,730$190 inLost-$190.282714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over4c1,591$62 inLost-$62.361216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-75%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over13c1,578$200 inLost-$199.8256439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over20c1,442$289 inLost-$288.5643439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c1,010$51 inLost-$51.133,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost-$19011723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over5c991.05$48 inLost-$47.623915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over9c883.94$81 inLost-$81.17825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over8c589.46$49 inLost-$491618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost-$1004540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over8c412.27$32 inLost-$32.011233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over3c400$12 inLost-$12170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over7c355.15$24 inLost-$24.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c302.78$44 inLost-$44.4239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under66c227.27$150 inWon+$77.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+98.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over21c211.65$44 inLost-$44.0414425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over11c169$19 inLost-$18.5998833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a3…ee91backed Over18c112$20 inLost-$20.161421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c89.99$17 inLost-$17.144324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Over18c85$15 inLost-$15.32365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over25c84$21 inLost-$2133949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under79c63.39$50 inWon+$13.311668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under72c61.69$45 inWon+$17.0111242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c55.03$14 inLost-$14.3110251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over24c46.99$11 inLost-$11.384443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c33$26 inWon+$7.3721139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under76c26.38$20 inWon+$6.381050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under76c17.82$14 inWon+$4.2711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under77c13.41$10 inWon+$3.127257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.