La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2a5aa6a20bec392ee5816834298237b67ba183c485121116eae96ac8d211c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 61c | 18,912$11,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,329.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 43c | 18,700$8,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,128.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 37c | 12,915$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 58c | 8,610$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 3,624$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.31 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 11c | 1,992$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 56c | 1,437$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 11c | 1,150$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 58c | 1,110$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 41c | 737.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 726.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 643.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 33c | 636.36$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 79c | 443.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 47c | 429.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 36c | 312.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 73c | 307.68$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 260$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 48c | 235.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 27c | 212$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 14c | 168.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…5619backed Over | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Over | 29c | 151.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 79c | 124.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 73c | 112$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 80c | 108.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 79c | 106.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 34c | 96.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 95.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 36c | 84.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 81.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 79.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 33c | 76.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 34c | 70.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 72c | 70.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Under | 58c | 68.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Over | 59c | 66.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 60c | 51.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 79c | 45.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed Under | 51c | 45.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 72c | 36.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 70c | 35.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 79c | 30.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 61c | 30.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 79c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.