La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1801b279e7113c9fd1d99ecb653c5de88879ad5f3d7540b4b7c423fcb1f1cfdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 4,532$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 49c | 2,519$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.51 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,870$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.05 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 1,823$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.75 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 49c | 1,640$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.79 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 1,636$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.15 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.83 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 51c | 1,152$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.62 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.26 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No | 52c | 846.15$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 52c | 845.2$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 51c | 828.68$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.63 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 47c | 527.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 53c | 446.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.93 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 277.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 274.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 46c | 211.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 208.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 197.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 194.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 169.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 155.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 138.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…cd24backed No | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 48c | 118.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 51c | 87.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 71.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 53c | 57.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 53c | 55.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…cc35backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9f…10cabacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…9b4cbacked Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…fbe1backed Yes | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 48c | 29.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 49c | 23.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Yes | 53c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…4fd8backed No | 55c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked No | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…4d8dbacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.