TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under63c941.5$593 inLost-$592.731553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c925.33$342 inWon+$582.964,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c627.72$232 inWon+$395.4668450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under63c466.43$294 inLost-$293.856259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over36c146.1$53 inWon+$93.5814525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under63c136.53$86 inLost-$85.961,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under64c136.32$87 inLost-$87.242454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under63c131$83 inLost-$82.531,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c41.5$16 inWon+$25.7399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over37c29$11 inWon+$18.2715660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.