TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,207
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,207 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c39,710$18,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,481.0657839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under38c31,756$12,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,106.913234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c27,754$15,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,905.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c14,680$6,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,570.853,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under63c12,690$8,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,019.782152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c7,699$4,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.7384144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over34c5,456$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.63825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under74c5,079$3,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,756.912955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under53c4,966$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.8922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under71c4,233$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c3,074$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.461,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.972544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over48c2,969$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.753647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over45c2,700$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under64c2,511$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.3214150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over36c2,300$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47220253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under65c2,245$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.196952.2%36 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Over51c1,891$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c1,675$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.512643.7%55 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c1,405$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.059660.4%58 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under33c1,360$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.27944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under26c1,346$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.624334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under3c1,269$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3919042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c1,232$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9343250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under42c1,177$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under20c1,175$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23590%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under64c1,100$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over58c1,043$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-71.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over68c1,038$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6707057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9910736.4%39 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under58c847.41$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under57c824.21$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.6611251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c821.75$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.461,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under39c819.04$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.9141239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under66c762.63$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.831,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Under2c752.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74f…acb2backed Under61c708.96$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over34c708.21$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4215151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c705.15$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c668.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0684939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under15c661.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.734117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under38c629.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2410245.1%46 W · 56 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under49c605.06$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.482157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over51c583.53$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.935341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under59c538$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4220743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over38c536$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over37c506.54$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.691,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over57c490.3$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.251330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over45c475.56$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.563638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c459.56$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.474657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c448.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over35c441.93$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.252,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c439.64$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9111253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over36c429.74$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.820533.7%69 W · 136 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under60c417.22$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under16c400.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.61616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Under41c400$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c345.19$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2712875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over49c337.74$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.961,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked Over70c331.58$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under63c310.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.142454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Under63c310.35$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.521764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c308$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6446040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1835750.9%29 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over36c300$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18618653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under60c290$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9815961.6%98 W · 61 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over64c285.63$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.524540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over60c281.29$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3510550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over38c275.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4914626%38 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83de…89c6backed Under72c272.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over26c270.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.99933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Over57c265.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.091250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over60c261$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.893650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over38c259.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.099252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under32c253.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.991040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Over68c250.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Under25c242.8$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.74346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c241.34$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2125033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c238.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1127958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab70…0322backed Over42c231.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under48c216.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under29c212.81$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7122653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over57c207.42$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6134050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03fd…2cd4backed Under47c203.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15810121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…b7b5backed Over44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over50c177$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.623030%9 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over47c171.84$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under69c163.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3920451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Under56c160.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.771330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.