Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53f01778eac5cafc2ee5b25ae0ddabbc176084c92c0230d62a9b9a9eb1d6a40e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 5,566$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 4,479$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.69 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 27c | 4,100$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 3,474$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.55 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 1,760$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 75c | 1,599$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 675.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.05 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 56c | 559.08$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 51c | 392.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 43c | 340.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 46c | 208.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 20c | 202.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Over | 53c | 187.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 64c | 153.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 136.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 127$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 121.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 37c | 117.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 51c | 89.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 40c | 79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 37c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 34c | 53.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 34c | 46.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…4a14backed Over | 51c | 29.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 66c | 25.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.