Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeae84f9441e305cdcb2e1bcfd2d48071ec7f4ff0e5873ebe640f64db3cc978f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 29c | 5,259$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.38 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 2,559$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.21 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 2,286$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.07 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 1,846$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,744$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 54c | 1,155$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.36 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 982$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 46c | 652.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 46c | 459$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.86 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 46c | 457.75$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 424.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 315.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 278.4$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.34 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 54c | 243.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 55c | 189.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 82.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 48c | 79.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.