Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40375aa89e3be9df2e57892bfebbc9eaadf0fc5f86f678c8bcfe7c604f4c06e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 5,402$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.82 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 3,241$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 2,857$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.53 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 72c | 2,779$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 1,176$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.02 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 27c | 707.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 28c | 562.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 525.93$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…0466backed Over | 74c | 500.27$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 263$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 19c | 249.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 39c | 165.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Over | 74c | 135.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 27c | 132$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 73c | 111.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 27c | 107.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 29c | 103.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 71c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…e43dbacked Over | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 71c | 37.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Sheffield United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.