TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$141,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Yes35c26,753$9,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,324.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes50c15,333$7,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,661.321151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No39c15,000$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,224.9236243.1%156 W · 206 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c14,897$9,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,245.687,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c14,699$9,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,796.455,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Yes49c6,188$3,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No51c5,346$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.24845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed No49c4,701$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.472839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x578a…c93ebacked Yes55c3,543$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No50c3,328$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.178245.1%37 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No27c2,955$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.736532.3%21 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes58c2,547$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.3913332.3%43 W · 90 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No58c2,475$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.842,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c2,465$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.9377350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked No52c2,260$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0851921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes52c1,924$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+165.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c1,806$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.7185250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes50c1,628$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.323644.4%16 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No68c1,554$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7664842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes73c1,350$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.1671533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No60c1,260$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4238147.5%181 W · 200 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Yes21c1,191$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes42c1,165$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.2192043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c1,122$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.592,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed No72c1,094$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.655756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d55…b038backed Yes52c1,031$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c1,018$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.112,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Yes49c986.28$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.285238.5%20 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No47c962.01$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.172,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…3bd7backed Yes50c802.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed No64c767.37$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.15475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No66c757.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.566660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c748.02$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7234139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes36c746.55$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.382,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…4832backed Yes52c739.05$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541a…06ccbacked No49c724.26$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No45c666.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.661384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+41.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c602$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9294043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30615945.9%73 W · 86 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed No43c554.29$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.942045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes49c532.71$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.03119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-79.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x825c…18e7backed No49c524.3$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25031860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes25c499.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b2…55d7backed No49c485.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No44c458.21$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes51c455.14$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.9417650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79e…d969backed Yes51c432.41$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2f…b471backed Yes52c427.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes53c399.12$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.796464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes12c371.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7720742.5%88 W · 119 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed No26c331$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.941020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ca…f587backed Yes46c311.66$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No50c309.07$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.472931%9 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb20…76aebacked No49c300.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes24c299.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727833.3%26 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No69c288.01$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1532257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No72c286.7$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4755954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No67c283.75$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6487745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes37c274.62$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.176942%29 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes52c258.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1719729.9%59 W · 138 L-21.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c255$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.431,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes34c249.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11521658.8%127 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes28c205.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No49c201$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.289351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009645.8%44 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No41c190.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.12875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bfe…4a26backed Yes51c185.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No41c179$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes36c169.98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7924030.4%73 W · 167 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No51c160.02$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.028956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes48c157$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.933853.3%180 W · 158 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes19c154.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4543721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes51c154.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5819146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes40c153.01$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.255455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No74c139.71$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8135163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90fe…b7b8backed No51c137.54$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed No50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.251,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c125$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.251,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No47c124.3$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.79064.4%58 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes10c120$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No51c118.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9946044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec64…c9ccbacked Yes50c118.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36cf…1ce0backed No49c114.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes50c114$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c112$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.321,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes71c104.91$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4813056.2%73 W · 57 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No76c104$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.329754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No65c103.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.185263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c3d…bbcabacked Yes55c100.11$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.