Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b786878c24d0c0b1963b1fcdb1b8c39d0ec6a847c472086ef77da408aa15bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 5,520$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.02 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,325$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 76c | 2,404$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.83 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 2,082$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.07 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,021$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.7 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 26c | 999.34$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 933.28$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.35 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…06ccbacked No | 75c | 470$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 379.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 62c | 291.56$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 230$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 227.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 178.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 150.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 149.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 148.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 27c | 122.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 56c | 120.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 36c | 114$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 45c | 110.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 37c | 99.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 98.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 58c | 78.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 61c | 75.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 68.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 57c | 67.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 59.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…93c2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 42.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 74c | 38.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 62c | 36.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 63c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 22.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 79c | 21.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…cfa4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.