Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94d6a2157df4d2925187f76e7ac63ce21a4f778d60a6544a5a9ca598785c5464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 7,337$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed No | 80c | 2,846$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,354$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f32…06ccbacked No | 77c | 1,010$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,004$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 975.29$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.98 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 955.61$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 889$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 23c | 837.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 634.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 496.92$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 388.48$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 329.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 230.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…bbcabacked Yes | 27c | 194.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 179.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 72c | 139.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 21c | 98.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 96.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 15c | 95.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 54.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 77c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…9195backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…0ff5backed No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.