MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e3bd1fc89fcf04c142c666a87ea0aaa14b6e373780283cf942aa271f764de3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $64,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,214 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under	39c	14,753$5,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,032.61	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Under	47c	10,000$4,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,350	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	56c	6,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640	1,063	48.2%512 W · 551 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over	44c	5,902$2,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596.88	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	54c	3,106$1,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,675.07	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over	55c	3,091$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	51c	2,645$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,344.17	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	59c	1,821$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.4	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	65c	1,466$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$952.94	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	56c	999.99$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	114	64%73 W · 41 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	23c	805.01$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.6	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	44c	662.53$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.51	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over	45c	638.29$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.23	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	63c	595$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.15	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	44c	500$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741a…534ebacked Under	44c	482.69$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+128%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	52c	352.26$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.5	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under	56c	339.29$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.29	321	57%183 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac6…db45backed Over	45c	333.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over	45c	288.54$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.84	399	53.6%214 W · 185 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over	45c	288.54$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.84	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	56c	241.07$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.07	812	57.3%465 W · 347 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	50c	228.01$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.75	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over	45c	212.76$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-29%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over	45c	212.76$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-6.4wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over	45c	212.76$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	39c	190.83$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.58	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…6b58backed Under	46c	173.91$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.91	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over	44c	160.07$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.43	214	49.5%106 W · 108 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over	62c	158.5$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.57	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	44c	135$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over	45c	118.04$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	287	51.9%149 W · 138 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	54c	117.78$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.78	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	13c	116.27$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	56c	114$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.16	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	44.4%59 W · 74 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over	44c	113.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over	45c	108.69$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.91	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over	45c	106.38$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under	57c	105.79$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.79	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	475	49.7%236 W · 239 L	+17.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	546	51.3%280 W · 266 L	+29.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Over	48c	97.85$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	43c	88.12$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.89	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over	47c	78.72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	+10.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under	33c	76.88$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.51	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over	45c	74.46$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over	44c	63.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.87	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Under	56c	60.36$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.56	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Over	43c	59.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	182	44.5%81 W · 101 L	-14.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Under	56c	55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.15	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+41.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	44c	49.75$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over	45c	43.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.18per pick	45cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over	45c	42.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over	45c	42.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-5.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Over	45c	42.55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Over	59c	40.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Under	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	56c	33.85$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	3,456	51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L	+107.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over	45c	30.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	44c	29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Over	58c	25.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked Over	59c	25.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	43c	24.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe935…3991backed Over	58c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	100	42%42 W · 58 L	-6.0wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under	47c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe369…9148backed Under	47c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f53…12cabacked Under	47c	21.28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	58c	20.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.63	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993e…c4c3backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.3wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+87%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Over	61c	17.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersChicago White Sox won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event