MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4113dc1a8c5f1aed999a5d28df7b6ff4733e3921190f86d8edd4d15cd2ec9764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 13,279$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.87 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 1,978$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.06 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 1,607$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.18 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,086$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,030$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 626.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 30c | 490$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 483.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 20c | 448.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers | 32c | 306.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 264$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 261.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 236.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chicago White Sox | 63c | 178.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 151.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 151.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 148.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 79c | 148$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 144.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Detroit Tigers | 37c | 106.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 101.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Chicago White Sox | 71c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chicago White Sox | 70c | 67.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 59.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Detroit Tigers | 31c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 35.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 33.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 28.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.