MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ecd32269ffb2292484f73086c07b9222640c57702108fcc041dc74db2b9fecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 65c | 9,797$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.66 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 35c | 5,161$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.25 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 31c | 2,544$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.4 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 69c | 1,175$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 1,068$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 28c | 713.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Under | 36c | 524.11$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 70c | 454.14$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 70c | 337.53$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 31c | 315.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 36c | 294.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.93 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 36c | 227.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 37c | 206.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 35c | 185$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 35c | 157.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 33c | 79.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked Under | 29c | 64.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 70c | 42.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 65c | 22.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Over | 70c | 22.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 66c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Over | 65c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 78c | 13.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersChicago White Sox won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.