TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$268,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over53c213,822$113,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,706.2846949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,50086548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c33,761$15,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,896.2710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab3…64afbacked Under46c30,424$13,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,428.863145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under42c26,109$10,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,143.2711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2502,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c13,982$6,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,411.373,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c9,875$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,223.521,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under47c9,726$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,15512343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe45d…230dbacked Under47c7,882$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under46c6,422$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.813154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.821748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c4,827$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.094,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c1,958$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0384,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Over54c1,782$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over36c1,392$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.124,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c1,074$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.148,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under47c1,021$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.289642.7%41 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under46c984.33$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5445445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over53c910.02$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3144451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over53c778.73$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.731,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c746.41$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.61,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under44c584.02$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.232,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under46c557.43$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.0155653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.238353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under47c540$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under47c531$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4318741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under47c446.8$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.847852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under47c398.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4347350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c367.51$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.392,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under46c360$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.41,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c355.1$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6559549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under41c332.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.357248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under47c329$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3722352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c323.31$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.716,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over36c320.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.681,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under46c319$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.261,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.991,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e87…e4e7backed Under47c287.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.371050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over52c276$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5254642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under47c270$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.187750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under26c269$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.78,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c254.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.928,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under47c234.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0431052.6%163 W · 147 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Under43c228.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4488053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.891,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under47c202.81$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4922050.5%111 W · 109 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under48c202.06$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0744245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c197.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf8b1…2282backed Under48c166$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under47c159.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3317346.2%80 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over65c154.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007657.9%44 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c151.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under45c149.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1830934.3%106 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Over12c127.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.732250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Over11c125.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c117.04$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.033,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under47c104.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1419555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5378854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…f18ebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310252%53 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over12c99.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9743954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Over53c96.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6846444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over54c87.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4747549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1111560.9%70 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe458…8668backed Under47c82.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f5…8ad6backed Under28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under46c64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over64c55.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.625,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Under47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.195054%27 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under42c49.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.861,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under47c44.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6447652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5513152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5536050.3%181 W · 179 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c41.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.042,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Over76c39.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.021,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under47c34.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3558352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392e…1fbdbacked Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3279955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under44c28.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6531957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under47c27.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2130554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under47c22.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8625355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under46c22.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.032050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.