La Liga · resolved market
Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4b6d1b6e3e133bb25518fd1f22ee742e37901ec7f0383f1283f113c20f9de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 61c | 2,221$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 4c | 1,564$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 1,060$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.52 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 39c | 717.05$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 45c | 352.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 41c | 151.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 37c | 97.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 40c | 83.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 39c | 74.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 39c | 48.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 37c | 30.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: Granada CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: Granada CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: O/U 0.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Oviedo vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Granada CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.