TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,980

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under53c32,508$17,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,229.4743647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c20,609$9,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,922.8210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under56c19,817$11,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,097.371,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c13,411$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,530.6511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c5,384$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.374,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under57c4,800$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,73645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under54c3,372$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.111,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under39c3,337$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.692050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over46c2,786$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.851,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c2,400$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3405,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over44c2,000$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.162,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over44c1,809$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.043,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c1,760$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.68,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under54c1,647$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.3836048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over44c1,445$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over46c1,294$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.856246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under54c1,287$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.984,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Over45c638.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.064531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c626.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over46c554.86$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6238353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over47c549.07$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.011,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over44c460.5$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8848339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2281741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c381$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.616,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over44c365$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.41,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under57c364.25$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Over43c341$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3722352.5%117 W · 106 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under55c329.65$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3112343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under54c328.75$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5359549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over45c308.85$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8754642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c273.35$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.378,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over45c268.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.699447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under53c233.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.532,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under52c228.27$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.621,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under55c228$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.313141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over44c215$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.327248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Over45c212.76$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.024231%13 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Over45c212.76$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.024131.7%13 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over47c206.54$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4747852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over45c192$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under56c182.25$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0687750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over44c179$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2445045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over44c160.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6217346.2%80 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c154.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.382,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under54c150.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5147652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.941,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6413344.4%59 W · 74 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6415147.7%72 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6411441.2%47 W · 67 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over45c108.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7814645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Over45c106.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.514332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Over45c106.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.514129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over44c106.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5619555.9%109 W · 86 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over44c102.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1778854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over43c98.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.161,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under54c97.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2446444.4%206 W · 258 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c93.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.581,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over44c90.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5211550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over45c74.46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9512646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over44c72.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4639953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over44c72.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4638551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over46c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6424350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Over44c58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4827252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c51.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.332,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over44c51.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.731,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over46c51.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.731,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c48.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.062,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5173243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4513152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d5…ab77backed Over44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452030%6 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.644332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Over45c43.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.963026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Over45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Over44c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.742825%7 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc915…2b84backed Over45c42.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42425%6 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over44c37.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256a…8fb4backed Over45c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623255.2%128 W · 104 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under55c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4923758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over45c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over44c24.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.591,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under54c23.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9734846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under56c23.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9814848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over68c21.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8513260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Under54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3418244.5%81 W · 101 L-14.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under57c18.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5930554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.