MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaffb1fc954b893c5c5637d151316eb03a2d293d356f49cedc130c12c9db50373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 32,508$17,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,229.47 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 20,609$9,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,922.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 19,817$11,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,097.37 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 13,411$5,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,530.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 5,384$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 57c | 4,800$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 3,372$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.11 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 39c | 3,337$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 2,786$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.85 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,400$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,809$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,760$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 54c | 1,647$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.38 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 1,445$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.2 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 46c | 1,294$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.85 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 1,287$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 45c | 638.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.06 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 626.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 554.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.62 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 549.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.01 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 44c | 460.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 381$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 44c | 365$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 57c | 364.25$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 43c | 341$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 55c | 329.65$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 54c | 328.75$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 308.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 273.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 268.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 53c | 233.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 52c | 228.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 55c | 228$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 44c | 215$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 47c | 206.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 45c | 192$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 56c | 182.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 160.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 154.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 54c | 150.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 45c | 108.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 44c | 106.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 102.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 98.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 54c | 97.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 93.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 44c | 90.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 45c | 74.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 44c | 72.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 44c | 72.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 44c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 51.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 51.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 51.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 48.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 45c | 43.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 44c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 44c | 37.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 45c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 44c | 24.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 54c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 56c | 23.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 68c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 57c | 18.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.