NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc196612d0de3d9c3008567168ce17ac1f419fe29998f62ebc02b0a16ac1d728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,895,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,073,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,895,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 42c | 342,939$145,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,111.89 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Mavericks | 46c | 271,980$125,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,982.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 71c | 157,817$111,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,156.23 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lakers | 55c | 135,798$75,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,304.17 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Lakers | 55c | 113,883$62,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,388.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Lakers | 47c | 103,742$48,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,465.99 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Lakers | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.93 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 48c | 95,421$45,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,618.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Lakers | 35c | 94,280$33,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,349.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c5…56a7backed Mavericks | 49c | 91,817$44,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,826.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Lakers | 48c | 76,727$36,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,886.68 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Lakers | 28c | 66,726$18,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,683.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers | 14c | 59,773$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks | 63c | 58,862$37,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,703.9 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Mavericks | 54c | 56,558$30,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,126.55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Mavericks | 40c | 53,162$21,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,046.5 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…146abacked Lakers | 53c | 44,562$23,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,621.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 26c | 43,492$11,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,308.6 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Mavericks | 80c | 40,845$32,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,348.47 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Mavericks | 77c | 39,448$30,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,073.04 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Lakers | 52c | 37,476$19,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,617.19 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lakers | 32c | 34,048$10,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,935 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lakers | 7c | 33,936$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.41 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Lakers | 27c | 33,722$8,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,969.01 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 42c | 31,108$13,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,042.49 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 32c | 30,314$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.55 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Lakers | 11c | 29,786$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.66 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 35c | 28,830$10,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.5 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 16c | 24,649$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Mavericks | 77c | 23,669$18,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.82 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…f0c4backed Mavericks | 69c | 20,949$14,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.72 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Lakers | 51c | 20,846$10,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,631.61 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Mavericks | 48c | 20,347$9,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,609.16 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Lakers | 1c | 18,936$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Mavericks | 30c | 18,914$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,273.91 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 46c | 17,606$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,451.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Lakers | 48c | 17,499$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,361.19 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…bbe8backed Lakers | 51c | 17,000$8,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,669.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Lakers | 59c | 15,951$9,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,427.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Mavericks | 50c | 15,777$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,893.36 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 53c | 15,646$8,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,292.37 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mavericks | 64c | 15,401$9,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.53 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Mavericks | 31c | 15,098$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,417.59 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Lakers | 4c | 14,991$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Mavericks | 33c | 14,564$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,757.88 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 43c | 14,123$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,049.85 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 44c | 13,451$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,532.83 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 9c | 12,936$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Mavericks | 36c | 12,486$4,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,936.85 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Mavericks | 68c | 12,015$8,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.8 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Mavericks | 79c | 12,000$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Lakers | 40c | 11,685$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers | 25c | 11,460$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Lakers | 53c | 10,981$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,820.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mavericks | 37c | 10,873$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.22 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 51c | 10,667$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Mavericks | 49c | 10,603$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,407.68 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Lakers | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Mavericks | 39c | 10,417$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.35 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59d…8e9fbacked Lakers | 19c | 10,267$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 64c | 10,136$6,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.43 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Mavericks | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Mavericks | 44c | 9,992$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.23 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 49c | 9,849$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.03 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…57d2backed Lakers | 1c | 9,775$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.76 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Mavericks | 46c | 9,587$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.48 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Lakers | 28c | 9,568$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…5d95backed Mavericks | 46c | 9,499$4,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Lakers | 28c | 8,271$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.72 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 8,227$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mavericks | 71c | 8,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 7,655$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.12 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Mavericks | 76c | 7,517$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.81 | 353 | 62.6%221 W · 132 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lakers | 27c | 7,497$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.3 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Mavericks | 46c | 7,184$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.68 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Mavericks | 73c | 6,797$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.65 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Mavericks | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.96 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 55c | 6,443$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.7 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Lakers | 27c | 6,339$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.44 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Mavericks | 54c | 6,274$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.34 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lakers | 50c | 6,000$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.46 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Mavericks | 49c | 5,985$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.14 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…7799backed Mavericks | 65c | 5,800$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Lakers | 38c | 5,780$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Mavericks | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.06 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,483$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,423$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.71 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Lakers | 52c | 5,344$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.44 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Lakers | 26c | 5,339$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.88 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 24c | 5,085$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.98 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 5,084$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Lakers | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Lakers | 1c | 4,948$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 25c | 4,880$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Mavericks | 46c | 4,838$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.52 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Mavericks | 39c | 4,817$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.37 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Lakers | 43c | 4,667$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.15 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 51c | 4,596$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.93 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Mavericksthis page
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 254.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 258.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.