NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720015c8a1918e81759cd370f722c80fd588b6a101b7a33f3ed7d3fbed7a70c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 51c | 11,969$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,864.87 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 49c | 6,665$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.94 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,043$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.79 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Lakers | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,576$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,381$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Lakers | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Lakers | 34c | 1,124$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.16 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Lakers | 53c | 1,054$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,035$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.59 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Lakers | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.82 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mavericks | 52c | 563.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 48c | 560$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 48c | 512.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 49c | 500.01$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 51c | 389.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Mavericks | 49c | 388.62$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.19 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Lakers | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Lakers | 50c | 384.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Mavericks | 51c | 351.58$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Lakers | 49c | 343.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…ee13backed Mavericks | 68c | 341.57$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lakers | 50c | 338.91$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Mavericks | 56c | 331.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…d354backed Mavericks | 68c | 326.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…f117backed Mavericks | 68c | 326.85$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 300.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Mavericks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Lakers | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Mavericks | 48c | 271.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Mavericks | 50c | 270.22$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Lakers | 51c | 241.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed Lakers | 50c | 213.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Lakers | 52c | 213.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.96 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Mavericks | 50c | 207.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…3800backed Lakers | 49c | 196.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Lakers | 49c | 195.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Lakers | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Lakers | 51c | 188.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Lakers | 44c | 175.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lakers | 49c | 150.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mavericks | 50c | 145.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Lakers | 49c | 144.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Mavericks | 52c | 141.14$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Lakers | 32c | 130.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Lakers | 32c | 130.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Lakers | 32c | 130.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Lakers | 32c | 130.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Lakers | 32c | 129.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Lakers | 32c | 127.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Lakers | 32c | 127.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Lakers | 32c | 127.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Mavericks | 52c | 127.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 49c | 122.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 49c | 121.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Mavericks | 50c | 119.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Lakers | 50c | 116.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 50c | 114.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Lakers | 32c | 104.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Lakers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Lakers | 52c | 98.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…f9edbacked Lakers | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Lakers | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Lakers | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Mavericks | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…b075backed Lakers | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Lakers | 49c | 83.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Lakers | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Mavericks | 62c | 78.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 48c | 77.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Mavericks | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Lakers | 49c | 68.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Lakers | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Lakers | 49c | 59.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…8629backed Lakers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Mavericks | 50c | 58.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Mavericks | 64c | 57.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers | 51c | 55.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Lakers | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Lakers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lakers | 44c | 48.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Lakers | 50c | 48.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Mavericks | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Lakers | 32c | 46.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lakers | 38c | 42.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 32c | 41.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lakers | 49c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…a571backed Lakers | 50c | 39.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Lakers | 52c | 39.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Lakers | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Lakers | 49c | 36.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 346 | 41%142 W · 204 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)this page
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 254.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 258.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.