NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a63c8e50acbcab848490384ea000631e7f436674ee6aaa499b374e6d78237d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 10,943$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.59 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 7,735$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 48c | 6,200$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.86 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 54c | 3,570$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.4 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 2,169$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 2,004$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.64 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Under | 25c | 1,754$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 77c | 1,603$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,514$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 22c | 1,417$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.94 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,226$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Over | 77c | 1,025$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.66 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 926.01$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.43 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 824.62$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.05 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 16c | 700$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 679.91$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.31 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 658.43$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.97 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 658.4$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 53c | 658.38$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.94 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 53c | 654.29$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.78 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 613.04$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 53c | 534.31$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 487.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 24c | 477.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 53c | 448.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 53c | 395.08$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 372.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 329.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 54c | 291.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 264.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 26c | 257.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 241.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 235.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 45c | 228.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 53c | 175.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 168.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 28c | 154.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed Under | 31c | 152.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 152.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 146.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 52c | 143.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 134.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 128.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 18c | 117.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 115.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 99.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 81.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 76c | 79.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e77backed Over | 77c | 77.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 27c | 69.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 65.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 24c | 63.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 33c | 59.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 53c | 56.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 55c | 53.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 46c | 46.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Over | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 47c | 45.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 25c | 43.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 25c | 42.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Under | 26c | 41.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…81b9backed Under | 34c | 41.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…d0d4backed Over | 77c | 40.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 52c | 36.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 77c | 34.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 64c | 31.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Over | 47c | 31.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 70c | 31.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 52c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 57c | 25.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…a846backed Over | 75c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c7…5f34backed Under | 53c | 23.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…86e9backed Under | 53c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 77c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5this page
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jake LaRavia: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 244.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 250.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 254.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 258.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-12.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.