NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69615e7805487df679e589e38eb213afe581292965b549e4d048a03e4f77edb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Grizzlies, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $715,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $732,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $715,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 31c | 83,224$26,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,042.72 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 74c | 34,644$25,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,062.22 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bucks | 70c | 34,297$24,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.98 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bucks | 69c | 33,595$23,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,396 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Grizzlies | 30c | 30,095$9,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,018.08 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 28,902$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.79 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Bucks | 67c | 22,991$15,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,586.95 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 21c | 15,926$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.19 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bucks | 69c | 15,399$10,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,773.83 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 28c | 13,935$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.88 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Grizzlies | 33c | 13,341$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.6 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 29c | 12,736$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 23c | 12,658$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.07 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 10,674$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed Bucks | 72c | 9,731$6,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Grizzlies | 19c | 9,727$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 69c | 8,708$6,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Bucks | 72c | 8,193$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.04 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 31c | 8,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 6,925$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 64c | 6,850$4,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 73c | 6,399$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Grizzlies | 29c | 6,391$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.38 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 20c | 5,818$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 18c | 5,652$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.32 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 76c | 5,542$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Bucks | 69c | 5,408$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.37 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Bucks | 70c | 5,081$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.74 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Grizzlies | 33c | 5,020$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 26c | 4,390$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bucks | 80c | 4,280$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.93 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 4,268$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 4,050$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 4,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Grizzlies | 20c | 3,555$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.07 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 80c | 3,493$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Grizzlies | 9c | 3,218$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Grizzlies | 28c | 3,159$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.38 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Grizzlies | 26c | 3,110$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.98 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Bucks | 62c | 3,100$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Bucks | 68c | 3,087$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.72 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Bucks | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,943$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,930$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…b17abacked Grizzlies | 20c | 2,626$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +203.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks | 71c | 2,626$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.43 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks | 71c | 2,556$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.04 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Bucks | 72c | 2,458$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Bucks | 68c | 2,319$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.42 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Grizzlies | 25c | 2,267$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.6 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 2,230$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.38 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…c6c9backed Bucks | 73c | 2,157$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bucks | 71c | 2,098$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Bucks | 70c | 2,060$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.14 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,011$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.06 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.26 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,850$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.74 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bucks | 76c | 1,739$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.73 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Grizzlies | 22c | 1,695$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.04 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Bucks | 69c | 1,668$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.2 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe509…4245backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,662$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.79 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,486$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,459$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.52 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Bucks | 68c | 1,450$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.39 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Bucks | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Bucks | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…237dbacked Bucks | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…1388backed Grizzlies | 33c | 1,426$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bucks | 78c | 1,395$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Bucks | 75c | 1,313$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Grizzlies | 16c | 1,295$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.62 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Bucks | 74c | 1,236$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.82 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,209$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 1,192$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 1,169$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…eec3backed Bucks | 69c | 1,158$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Bucks | 73c | 1,108$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Grizzlies | 20c | 1,102$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Bucks | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Grizzlies | 19c | 1,069$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…5954backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Bucks | 70c | 1,042$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,042$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,041$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 23c | 1,038$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.13 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 69c | 1,018$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…df87backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…78cebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Grizzlies | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Grizzlies | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Bucks | 62c | 958.63$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Bucks | 74c | 930$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Grizzlies | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 175 | 32%56 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks | 68c | 853.27$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 852.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Grizzlies | 7c | 850$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bucksthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.