NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b5e4f0a5e868c79210f5f1a2199a115d09a87527d957ecc780daffe2ac6e5c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 49c | 59,298$29,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,039.58 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 51c | 33,452$17,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,369.85 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 52c | 21,708$11,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,471.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Bucks | 55c | 17,749$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 12,437$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Bucks | 51c | 12,169$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.79 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 11,776$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Grizzlies | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Bucks | 51c | 5,646$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.31 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 54c | 4,419$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.55 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Bucks | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Bucks | 58c | 1,849$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Grizzlies | 41c | 1,452$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.32 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,347$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Bucks | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.45 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Bucks | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Grizzlies | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Grizzlies | 46c | 801.49$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.68 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 51c | 752.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bucks | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Bucks | 50c | 648$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Bucks | 51c | 581.65$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Bucks | 51c | 530.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 521.02$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.41 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Grizzlies | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Grizzlies | 47c | 440.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies | 46c | 425$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 424$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 420.83$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…6391backed Grizzlies | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bucks | 55c | 346.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bucks | 55c | 345$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bucks | 56c | 340.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bucks | 56c | 337.29$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Bucks | 56c | 337.29$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bucks | 56c | 333.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks | 56c | 329.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks | 56c | 329.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Bucks | 56c | 329.44$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 48c | 317.43$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucks | 55c | 299.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Grizzlies | 49c | 295.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Grizzlies | 5c | 295.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Bucks | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bucks | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 41c | 277.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 276.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 44c | 275$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Bucks | 52c | 248.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae3…93e9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 234.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Bucks | 51c | 228.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Grizzlies | 46c | 226.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 29c | 212.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Grizzlies | 44c | 177.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bucks | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bucks | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Bucks | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bucks | 51c | 170.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…f4f1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 139.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Grizzlies | 47c | 126.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 56c | 123.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bucks | 55c | 120.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bucks | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…6f4cbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…7020backed Grizzlies | 50c | 105.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Grizzlies | 48c | 101.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 45c | 100.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Grizzlies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Grizzlies | 47c | 96.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…1bebbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 93.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Grizzlies | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Grizzlies | 46c | 91.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Grizzlies | 35c | 88.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 88.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Grizzlies | 48c | 87.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bucks | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 43c | 86.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…eec2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 78.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Grizzlies | 42c | 78.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bucks | 54c | 72.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Bucks | 55c | 70.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…2086backed Bucks | 52c | 69.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…980fbacked Bucks | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Bucks | 55c | 63.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Grizzlies | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bucks | 55c | 60.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…963ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 59.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…f7dbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 59.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Grizzlies | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Grizzlies | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Grizzlies vs. BucksBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.