NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3857c6a881f9153a13608b92830ac9f3e9948412ee3cc6cfc629b44132805f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 53c | 67,193$35,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,683.36 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 50,290$23,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,650.4 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 6,568$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,741$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Over | 48c | 3,700$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.98 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 50c | 3,377$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.5 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 3,135$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 3,032$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,636$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.35 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.21 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 47c | 1,165$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.52 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 1,123$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.27 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.82 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Over | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.61 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…1b67backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 999.91$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 47c | 981.05$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 978.2$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 910.11$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.75 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 892.5$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.25 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 892.5$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.25 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 886.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.28 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 47c | 873.32$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.46 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 741.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 50c | 689.19$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.59 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 50c | 688.31$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.16 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 640.35$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 570.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 45c | 528.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.02 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 486.21$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 479.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.46 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 46c | 478.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 436.77$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 57c | 427.27$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 51c | 390.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 354.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.49 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 51c | 316.22$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 54c | 213.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Under | 51c | 188.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 47c | 180$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 173.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 170.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 52c | 130.31$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 50c | 128.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 39c | 125.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…d55fbacked Under | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 49c | 121.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 118.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 97.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e8…ffcabacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 55c | 92.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 83.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 51c | 79.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 68.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 64.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…321cbacked Over | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 58.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 52c | 51.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 50c | 50.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 49.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Over | 53c | 46.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 58c | 40.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 47c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…b743backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 50c | 31.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 52c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 52c | 24.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 51c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 23.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 22.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…1953backed Over | 52c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Over | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Grizzlies vs. BucksBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.