NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda55e55e862ac4d990a96d8e3348bbb6309527f2e7093038054965aa0de88021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,716,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,717,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,716,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 47c | 885,888$412,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412,920.41 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Bucks | 54c | 812,812$438,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374,024.52 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Grizzlies | 46c | 130,684$60,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,469.2 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Bucks | 54c | 68,188$36,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,337.18 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Grizzlies | 46c | 53,022$24,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,382.03 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 36,568$17,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,060.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bucks | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 21,377$10,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155.88 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 47c | 21,156$9,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,210.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 48c | 20,860$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,948.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 51c | 15,639$7,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,960.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 52c | 13,129$6,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,313.09 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 11,810$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.64 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 51c | 11,276$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Bucks | 48c | 11,050$5,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.02 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 46c | 10,275$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,717.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Grizzlies | 47c | 10,100$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,745 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 9,991$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.08 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 49c | 9,957$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 53c | 9,449$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.03 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 49c | 9,326$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.27 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Bucks | 49c | 7,913$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,035.87 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Bucks | 50c | 7,469$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Grizzlies | 47c | 5,456$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.42 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Bucks | 57c | 5,143$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.44 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 64c | 4,580$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.32 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Bucks | 51c | 4,320$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 46c | 4,132$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.17 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,018$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,000$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.53 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Bucks | 49c | 2,624$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.41 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,602$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.04 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Bucks | 55c | 2,481$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.52 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Bucks | 49c | 2,233$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.04 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 50c | 2,163$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,083$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 2,028$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Grizzlies | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bucks | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 54c | 1,711$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.6 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Bucks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,421$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.43 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Bucks | 57c | 1,265$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.16 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bucks | 79c | 1,249$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.94 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 52c | 1,162$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bucks | 52c | 1,151$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.48 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,056$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.52 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Bucks | 49c | 997.51$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Bucks | 79c | 987.4$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Grizzlies | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.38 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 930.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.06 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Grizzlies | 46c | 881.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.42 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Grizzlies | 50c | 833.7$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 53c | 815.59$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.33 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 46c | 774.37$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.91 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 54c | 760.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Grizzlies | 49c | 716.46$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Grizzlies | 48c | 664.34$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.48 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Bucks | 59c | 661.29$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 47c | 628.71$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bucks | 47c | 622.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 614.1$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bucks | 51c | 593.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.27 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Bucks | 50c | 561.55$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 497.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +57%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 496.81$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 495$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Bucks | 50c | 484.86$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 477.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.25 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Bucks | 54c | 474.53$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bucks | 51c | 470.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.17 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Grizzlies | 50c | 450.34$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.16 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Grizzlies | 43c | 449.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Grizzlies | 46c | 432.71$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Grizzlies | 45c | 423$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 402.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 50c | 401.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Bucks | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Grizzlies | 46c | 395.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Bucks | 50c | 386.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…2c1abacked Grizzlies | 35c | 376.23$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 368.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Grizzlies | 30c | 360.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 350.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.75 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Grizzlies | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 338.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Bucks | 49c | 314.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bucks | 49c | 312.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 305.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Grizzlies | 36c | 299.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…b087backed Bucks | 55c | 295.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Bucks | 52c | 291.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Bucks | 52c | 283.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bucks | 49c | 283.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.67 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Bucks | 55c | 281.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 248 | 56.5%140 W · 108 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Bucks | 49c | 278.95$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
- Grizzlies vs. BucksBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5Over won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-7.5)Bucks won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.