TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a01…321c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$34.92
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.2
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.85
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$32.55
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$15.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+73%+$41.1
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.71
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.61
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$29.61
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$40.91
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.4
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62%+$29.97
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.22
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.66
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$127.5
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$32.91
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.68
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+634.4%+$144.3
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$348.13
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$70.23
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.92
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$59.27
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.01
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.56
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.