TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over54c8,496$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,882.7541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c5,795$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.3651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,208$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.651,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.014835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over55c2,799$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.231,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over56c2,608$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.723237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under48c1,876$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c1,559$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7726154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under45c1,529$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under48c1,488$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over53c1,210$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.7827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under48c1,119$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.1431148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,115$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under1c1,101$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.018845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c1,023$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8333554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c966.96$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.131,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c960.33$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.365952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c839.68$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.352,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under19c727.09$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7829533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under44c589$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1631848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over64c517.91$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.961,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c441.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under47c438.68$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.989757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e86…be66backed Under49c392.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x845c…f0c0backed Over52c391.02$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ed…af5fbacked Under49c382.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f6…8ffcbacked Over52c380.02$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf2…64cabacked Under49c377.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…669cbacked Over53c377.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c376.92$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9222946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x576e…bfb8backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4304…3dd9backed Under48c357.55$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under35c344.6$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1215560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c306.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9738147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over57c298.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2310540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under11c280$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under40c240.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.394254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over52c240.83$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under48c238.16$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.325358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c221.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.191,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over65c140.58$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4921355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Under45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over69c104.72$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.673,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over71c102.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3814855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.675754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Under45c96.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…9190backed Under25c96.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over51c96.32$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.229146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…4debbacked Under33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c80.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.132,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4882353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…321cbacked Over56c76.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Under45c75.21$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.854738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under49c69.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9371952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over67c68.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c66.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.831,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.420350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.212045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c57.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9845651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over65c57.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Under51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.122326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.853432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c54.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8314551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under46c53.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.766167.2%41 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Under46c51.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.593161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x088d…3516backed Under46c51.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over67c50.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.727852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.559852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c48.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under45c48.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.768844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c46.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe166…4f71backed Under65c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.374346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under45c45.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.319647.9%46 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over73c43.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.888562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over57c41.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Under59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…9a7ebacked Over55c40.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Under49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.392454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under51c38.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.414452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6343250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9988…15fdbacked Under49c34.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Under63c34.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.517051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Under49c32.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910033%33 W · 67 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Under45c32.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4f…6055backed Over63c30.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.432343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82c…c866backed Under48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…adbabacked Under48c30.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.534862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under41c29.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2633251.5%171 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Under49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5419548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over55c29.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3342558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over52c29.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9922255.9%124 W · 98 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over51c28.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7310049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Under52c21.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0813343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over68c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8428340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over72c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4838447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.