NHL · resolved market

Penguins vs. Flyers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b97365db303267ca8612e89cfb021dc60873172d8dc0e45477c937ca730e67

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Flyersof Penguins, Flyers
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $526,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $553,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,498 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 780 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Penguins	50c	116,239$58,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,119.41	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Flyers	49c	31,517$15,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,952.46	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Flyers	50c	29,396$14,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,698.09	48	50%24 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers	50c	22,213$11,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,043.4	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Penguins	51c	14,641$7,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,467.09	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Flyers	49c	13,892$6,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,085.02	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Flyers	50c	13,330$6,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,665.1	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed Flyers	47c	11,837$5,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,217.61	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Flyers	44c	11,570$5,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,532.71	752	51.7%389 W · 363 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Penguins	48c	9,952$4,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,776.96	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	+10.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Penguins	13c	9,852$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Penguins	50c	9,714$4,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,894.85	852	50.2%428 W · 424 L	-26.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins	50c	9,700$4,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,850	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers	50c	9,306$4,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,620.05	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers	49c	9,287$4,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,736.35	479	51.4%246 W · 233 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flyers	50c	6,099$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,049.68	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Penguins	21c	5,720$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.4	174	42.5%74 W · 100 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2063…e6bdbacked Penguins	0c	5,650$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Flyers	34c	5,032$1,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,302.83	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Flyers	50c	4,704$2,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,352.1	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Penguins	13c	4,315$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.68	138	41.3%57 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Penguins	48c	4,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.95	291	46.7%136 W · 155 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Penguins	49c	3,957$1,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,938.8	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Flyers	50c	3,880$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers	50c	3,778$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.25	642	42.2%271 W · 371 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Penguins	50c	3,492$1,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752	284	47.9%136 W · 148 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins	43c	3,478$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.87	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a5…312ebacked Penguins	51c	3,426$1,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,747.37	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Penguins	4c	3,274$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.27	133	33.1%44 W · 89 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins	32c	3,234$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.59	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Flyers	42c	3,224$1,340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.24	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Flyers	35c	3,123$1,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,033.54	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.26per pick	40cpaid	+47%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Penguins	51c	3,045$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.96	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed Penguins	51c	3,036$1,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,548.26	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.9	254	47.2%120 W · 134 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Penguins	21c	2,992$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.21	295	33.6%99 W · 196 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Flyers	50c	2,831$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,415.46	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Penguins	16c	2,755$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.3	273	34.4%94 W · 179 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins	64c	2,676$1,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,712.65	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56f3…bf55backed Flyers	50c	2,668$1,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.75	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Flyers	51c	2,635$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.2	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Penguins	22c	2,591$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.83	324	51.2%166 W · 158 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Penguins	15c	2,531$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.6	123	28.5%35 W · 88 L	-9.2wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Flyers	50c	2,328$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flyers	46c	2,310$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.3	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Penguins	50c	2,276$1,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,144.47	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Flyers	50c	2,239$1,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.31	25	48%12 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers	57c	2,190$1,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$942.47	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Flyers	49c	2,180$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.8	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers	51c	2,157$1,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,062.46	892	49.9%445 W · 447 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Flyers	50c	2,048$1,024 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.96	267	50.2%134 W · 133 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Flyers	50c	2,007$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.52	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Penguins	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.07	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Flyers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.99	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Penguins	41c	2,000$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.82	270	44.4%120 W · 150 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Flyers	50c	1,968$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.79	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked Flyers	50c	1,940$970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Penguins	51c	1,841$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.74	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Penguins	23c	1,789$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.75	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins	14c	1,738$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.22	437	43%188 W · 249 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Flyers	42c	1,738$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.97	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Penguins	52c	1,731$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$898.67	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Flyers	60c	1,512$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.69	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Flyers	50c	1,455$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.5	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Penguins	37c	1,406$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.43	554	46.4%257 W · 297 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Penguins	57c	1,400$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798	332	34.3%114 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins	9c	1,364$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.73	1,025	40.8%418 W · 607 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Flyers	66c	1,306$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.09	521	72.6%378 W · 143 L	+36.7wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3983…4550backed Penguins	10c	1,290$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.03	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked Flyers	50c	1,282$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.17	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Flyers	51c	1,209$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$596.9	135	51.1%69 W · 66 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Penguins	10c	1,201$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.14	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdaf2…76f0backed Penguins	49c	1,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.95	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+62.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9116…f76abacked Flyers	52c	1,167$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.31	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Penguins	12c	1,144$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.71	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b13…13edbacked Penguins	6c	1,128$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Flyers	50c	1,088$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.68	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Flyers	51c	1,068$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.15	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Flyers	51c	1,030$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.7	622	49.4%307 W · 315 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Flyers	51c	1,005$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.45	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+79.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Penguins	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	154	48.1%74 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Flyers	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	46cpaid	+48.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Penguins	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	242	0.8%2 W · 240 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Flyers	34c	999.98$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Penguins	49c	999.98$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Penguins	43c	999.16$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.74	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Flyers	52c	989.88$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.14	247	49.8%123 W · 124 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Flyers	50c	970$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5da…1420backed Penguins	66c	964.68$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.69	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…03c2backed Flyers	51c	955.54$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.3	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2021…5d52backed Penguins	51c	951.19$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Penguins	15c	931.09$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.88	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Flyers	77c	929.19$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.71	893	55.5%496 W · 397 L	+67.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31e0…c68abacked Flyers	51c	899.87$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.93	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Penguins	36c	898.76$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.52	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Flyers	49c	888.38$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.08	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Flyers	56c	883.64$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.64	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	53cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers	48c	836.96$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.81	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f1…a67fbacked Penguins	51c	800.95$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1752…d274backed Penguins	36c	784.51$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.83	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Penguins vs. Flyers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event