TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e4f…6055

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.61
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens backed Habs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$216.08
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$30.81
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.65
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$249.01
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.25
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.43
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.62
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.04
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+261.4%+$65.36
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Avalanche vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+106.6%+$37.3
Canadiens vs. Jetsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+195.3%+$126.95
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick31cpaid+163.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+900%+$270
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$68.33
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.09
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.32
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.