MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56245ab0a4790a6a93381c7da2dfd6b9c192fa2fd38046cdec1687406884bc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 68,496$32,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,994.61 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 48c | 26,115$12,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.39 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 48c | 19,640$9,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,426.96 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 52c | 5,065$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.18 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 5,036$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.91 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 53c | 4,898$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.01 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 4,461$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.68 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 4,210$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 38c | 4,000$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.47 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 53c | 2,731$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.37 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 2,646$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 48c | 2,113$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.22 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,989$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 1,737$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.76 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,637$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.93 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 48c | 1,556$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.92 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 1,513$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.24 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.16 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 52c | 1,200$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,100$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 55c | 1,095$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.6 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 49c | 934.96$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.13 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 49c | 899.98$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 832$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.77 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 45c | 784.47$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.01 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 53c | 739.36$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 729.25$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.67 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 54c | 717.2$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 707.27$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.64 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 573.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 475.48$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 402.75$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 52c | 390.27$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.33 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 55c | 310$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 53c | 190.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 179.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 57c | 151.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 151.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 139.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 108.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…6055backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…338ebacked Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 61c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 73.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 53c | 55.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 53c | 53.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36b…095dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…2eafbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 52c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 42.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Under | 53c | 37.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 54c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 53c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc50…7fdebacked Under | 51c | 28.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Under | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 53c | 23.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 48c | 21.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 51c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…182dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.