MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f16122687d3b5620153fb6bf8569bab9f945bdf1a843309a2483ea0a563883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,202,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,295,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,202,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed New York Yankees | 57c | 300,000$171,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 299,999$129,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,999.69 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 98,655$78,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,217.28 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 41c | 86,254$35,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,558.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 75,249$36,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,290.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 67,744$29,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,469.13 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 60,975$30,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,414.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 60,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,999.96 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 20c | 45,659$9,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,131.73 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed New York Yankees | 51c | 38,305$19,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,618.74 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed New York Yankees | 56c | 31,038$17,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,381.5 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 30,164$18,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,093.38 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 57c | 28,188$15,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,992.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 23,842$13,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,351.46 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 40c | 22,201$8,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,839.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 22,000$9,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,960 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 19,207$8,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,774.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 18,016$7,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,449.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 23c | 16,305$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 58c | 12,613$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.51 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.12 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed New York Yankees | 60c | 9,350$5,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,610 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 8,377$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.3 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 7,345$3,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.78 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Yankees | 35c | 7,067$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.16 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 20c | 6,687$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Yankees | 59c | 6,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Yankees | 34c | 5,905$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.57 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 35c | 4,982$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 4,519$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 4,230$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.77 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,156$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.52 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 4,130$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.6 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,126$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.67 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 4,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,906$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.43 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 57c | 3,900$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…be0bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 3,643$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 36c | 2,793$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed New York Yankees | 57c | 2,770$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed New York Yankees | 45c | 2,713$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.47 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,438$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.02 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 31c | 2,339$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 2,295$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed New York Yankees | 44c | 2,250$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,245$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.8 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 2,150$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 2,142$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed New York Yankees | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed New York Yankees | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 27c | 1,900$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.67 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,779$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.05 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,757$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,650$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.98 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,466$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.49 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Yankees | 7c | 1,444$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,422$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.96 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 1,311$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,263$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,214$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.16 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,187$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.46 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,185$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.86 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,168$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed New York Yankees | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,150$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.49 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked New York Yankees | 12c | 1,080$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,069$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.73 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Yankees | 57c | 1,067$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.46 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,065$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 1,006$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.82 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.06 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 999.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 56c | 999.93$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.96 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 988.16$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.25 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New York Yankees | 10c | 975.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked New York Yankees | 2c | 936.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…5c8cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 866.2$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Yankees | 38c | 837.24$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 827$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 813.46$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed New York Yankees | 42c | 812.06$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.47 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 804.32$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.59 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed New York Yankees | 6c | 799.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees | 3c | 779.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 769.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.94 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4d…3b60backed New York Yankees | 59c | 700.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…1f1bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 2.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.