MLB · resolved market
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedcf6361c76be1fde4b856efc53dcb752d2cbf5aa4135115171bccd960b1db00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venezuelaof USA, Venezuela
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,241,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,241,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Venezuela | 31c | 320,527$99,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221,163.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked USA | 69c | 164,870$113,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,760.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed USA | 55c | 107,077$59,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,142 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Venezuela | 32c | 103,736$33,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,140.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…92adbacked USA | 27c | 100,000$26,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,831.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed USA | 67c | 72,314$48,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,460.97 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Venezuela | 31c | 54,422$16,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,551.2 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked USA | 69c | 27,657$19,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,083 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked USA | 68c | 22,425$15,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,161.54 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed USA | 51c | 22,000$11,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Venezuela | 31c | 15,400$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,592.48 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Venezuela | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…9e4dbacked Venezuela | 79c | 14,754$11,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked USA | 37c | 13,848$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Venezuela | 32c | 13,764$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed USA | 70c | 13,103$9,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,172.23 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed USA | 69c | 13,085$9,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,028.83 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Venezuela | 33c | 12,707$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,513.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Venezuela | 34c | 12,627$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,376.81 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Venezuela | 31c | 11,781$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,128.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Venezuela | 33c | 11,413$3,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USA | 27c | 10,976$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.59 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed USA | 67c | 10,658$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140.84 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed USA | 0c | 9,992$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed USA | 68c | 9,559$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed USA | 24c | 8,988$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Venezuela | 45c | 8,972$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…54a7backed USA | 68c | 7,184$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed USA | 67c | 6,656$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.96 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked USA | 70c | 5,957$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,151.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed USA | 32c | 5,823$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.78 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed USA | 68c | 5,405$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.86 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked USA | 69c | 5,272$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked USA | 25c | 5,054$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed USA | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Venezuela | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…9ac5backed Venezuela | 32c | 4,696$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Venezuela | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…77e1backed USA | 71c | 4,392$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Venezuela | 49c | 4,099$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed USA | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Venezuela | 40c | 3,537$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.29 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed USA | 19c | 3,503$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.99 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…3834backed USA | 49c | 3,457$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661b…17babacked USA | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…540dbacked Venezuela | 33c | 3,088$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…a203backed USA | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f70…e184backed Venezuela | 35c | 2,858$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed USA | 65c | 2,822$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.14 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…1938backed Venezuela | 32c | 2,804$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Venezuela | 34c | 2,703$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…09c2backed USA | 69c | 2,681$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked USA | 69c | 2,640$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed USA | 38c | 2,638$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Venezuela | 31c | 2,593$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.14 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Venezuela | 43c | 2,542$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.54 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked USA | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked USA | 44c | 2,250$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed USA | 2c | 2,187$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed USA | 43c | 2,176$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed USA | 69c | 2,109$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked USA | 48c | 2,055$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.25 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed USA | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed USA | 34c | 1,740$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.2 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Venezuela | 32c | 1,637$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Venezuela | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed USA | 67c | 1,596$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.65 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked Venezuela | 76c | 1,595$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…3b74backed Venezuela | 32c | 1,557$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…1279backed Venezuela | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…f726backed Venezuela | 32c | 1,456$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…de88backed Venezuela | 33c | 1,449$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +411%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked USA | 68c | 1,409$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…b23ebacked USA | 59c | 1,368$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Venezuela | 72c | 1,361$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…6f42backed Venezuela | 75c | 1,347$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Venezuela | 38c | 1,328$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Venezuela | 33c | 1,312$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed USA | 36c | 1,267$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Venezuela | 49c | 1,166$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.49 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed USA | 39c | 1,142$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed USA | 68c | 1,117$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.52 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…da97backed Venezuela | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Venezuela | 33c | 1,002$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Venezuela | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Venezuela | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed USA | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Venezuela | 38c | 989.37$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.8 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…0f60backed USA | 26c | 926.27$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked USA | 41c | 920.01$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.83 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Venezuela | 71c | 917.02$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed USA | 68c | 903.72$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Venezuela | 64c | 883.11$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.89 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed USA | 70c | 882$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed USA | 68c | 875.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed USA | 66c | 845.48$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.01 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…82f5backed USA | 18c | 833.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked USA | 69c | 832.61$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed USA | 39c | 819.91$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.42 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Venezuela | 44c | 816.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.33 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.