TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Over59c5,085$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3601947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over55c3,637$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2510743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8851145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under43c1,435$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.911952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under42c1,328$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.8410049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under45c1,324$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.446953.6%37 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under41c1,259$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.721,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under42c1,159$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.299258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c973.88$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55b5…1ec0backed Over9c900$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under58c864.81$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.22977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c637.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over39c563.46$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under44c549.2$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.5535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over55c494.9$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.341,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c444.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c379.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under55c370.53$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under56c345.66$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.612161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over67c314.1$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3912357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over65c288$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.218046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under49c256.45$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over25c245.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over57c240.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1378336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c216.63$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3138147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over59c215$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.855749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under33c210.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.762050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under31c200.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3535551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under77c194.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.352470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c193$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.311,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.52,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under29c169.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.63231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over61c164.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Under78c156.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb792…1658backed Over56c146.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.081050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Over57c146.3$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under63c142.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3117248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under51c138.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8d…d46cbacked Over56c129.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under42c129.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.166552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…364cbacked Under45c129.48$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fc7…404bbacked Under45c126.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over67c126.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.648469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over38c122.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3127659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x938b…46c0backed Under45c120.59$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c119.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4f…6055backed Over43c117.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…68c4backed Under45c117.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea60…1cedbacked Over56c112.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under39c109.76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.952365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f82…bc1bbacked Over56c105.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over36c102.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9614045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6265…0d9fbacked Over58c100.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.233455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under39c94.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.625269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over57c87.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over58c81.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.124350.2%122 W · 121 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Over41c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.471241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c65.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d6f…be20backed Under76c58.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over38c57.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over73c40.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.533770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over61c40.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.93066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.399948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c36.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over59c35.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.275149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over41c35.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5926154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8d…8e6abacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9631…29f1backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108a…517abacked Over59c25.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85961%36 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over59c22.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1314158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under80c21.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3612152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over65c19.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450a…0712backed Over59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Over68c15.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.