TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c21,731$9,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,776.2741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under56c12,376$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,411.4233151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5004161%25 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over43c8,055$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.8411952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under55c2,564$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.830551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under57c2,300$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over13c1,974$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.2789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.861959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c1,800$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over44c1,765$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.621435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over43c1,411$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.672846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c1,221$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.479258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under55c1,056$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.212950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over37c916.54$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.121,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c862.62$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.551,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under70c709.32$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…3ca2backed Under56c703.23$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a1…e6d5backed Under56c530.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce6…ba8bbacked Under56c490.86$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under56c454.52$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over43c415.2$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.121,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe36b…095dbacked Under59c352.24$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.571662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under56c318.06$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4221355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c303.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over43c302.09$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.97149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1292254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over19c274.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.273,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under55c257$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8510848.1%52 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under69c200.45$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5225345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.359852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over27c188$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.791,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Over43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Over43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over44c186$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8431848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Under56c176.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.799846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Over43c176.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8817553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over8c174.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9201…3d5cbacked Over45c151.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over18c145$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.145069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under61c137.4$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0849851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under56c133.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.924548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under56c118.19$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Under55c114$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c113.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5533554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over42c107.37$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.138147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7213860.9%84 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7172…e014backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Under55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed Over43c85.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.793748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.095149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c81.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6317248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.351,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over44c74.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.638336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under62c68.26$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2635551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Over45c63.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over29c61.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.731861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over54c57.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2612152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57d9…25cbbacked Under56c48.59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under64c47.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2614347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4f…0ebebacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over44c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3638551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under53c43.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under55c40.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0420855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212050%10 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df7…078dbacked Under78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under57c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3492049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Over55c36.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014560.7%88 W · 57 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7139751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.714477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xfdbc…1545backed Under79c33.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over45c27.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.419844.9%89 W · 109 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.425556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Over44c25.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ffd…08fabacked Under56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over55c18.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.277265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.