TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Hurricanes, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hurricanes43c83,102$36,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,134.3720354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Canadiens57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,2006352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Canadiens56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9356649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens56c12,888$7,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,670.9259450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Hurricanes44c11,412$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Canadiens56c11,004$6,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,841.5710545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Canadiens56c8,965$5,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.224358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Canadiens57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Hurricanes45c7,985$3,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,604.3927044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Canadiens58c6,285$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.833253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Hurricanes42c5,555$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.121850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes43c3,476$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.7228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hurricanes44c3,314$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.0537754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens56c3,256$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.691,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Canadiens57c3,201$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.439751.5%50 W · 47 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Canadiens56c3,010$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.51966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Hurricanes44c2,961$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.849260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Hurricanes43c2,623$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.894542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens57c2,600$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens56c2,522$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.176950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Canadiens57c2,500$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07513049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Canadiens56c2,335$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.1617761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Canadiens47c2,133$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.1738551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes44c2,048$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.8133450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Canadiens56c1,801$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.299258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Canadiens57c1,600$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2127850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Canadiens56c1,319$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.361040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Hurricanes52c1,171$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Canadiens56c1,150$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5061650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Hurricanes43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47331148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens56c1,058$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.9833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Canadiens56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44014653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ee…efcebacked Canadiens56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed Canadiens56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Canadiens56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Canadiens57c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Canadiens57c900$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38745749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens49c763.19$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.333,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Canadiens46c700$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurricanes54c650$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.8761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Hurricanes43c585.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Canadiens49c577.15$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.278345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeca…865dbacked Hurricanes56c487.71$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Canadiens57c465.1$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes44c455$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.11,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Canadiens57c450.2$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5920855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Hurricanes44c445.75$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9121355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Hurricanes44c413$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7115554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b3…bc62backed Canadiens56c395.23$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes48c372.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.291,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Canadiens57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Hurricanes47c323.57$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.53342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Canadiens43c302.31$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1322250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13274951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Hurricanes44c285.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0110357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes39c276.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9917248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Canadiens52c270.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Hurricanes44c266.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.737761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Hurricanes39c240.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6125345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af2…5212backed Hurricanes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005450%27 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Hurricanes44c212.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.722853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Hurricanes46c206.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22f…f86fbacked Hurricanes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Hurricanes42c199.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Canadiens56c199.23$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.658150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e6…7a11backed Canadiens56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Canadiens57c190.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.139755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Hurricanes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Hurricanes39c182.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Canadiens57c178.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8119353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd45d…105abacked Canadiens57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441580%12 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Canadiens61c165.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.044477.3%34 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Hurricanes43c156$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.082161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Hurricanes43c151.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31a…89ccbacked Canadiens56c148.95$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc057…f545backed Canadiens58c147.53$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd977…017dbacked Hurricanes34c145.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Hurricanes23c144.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.129553.6%158 W · 137 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f26…33d1backed Canadiens56c142.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f56…f76ebacked Hurricanes43c139.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8e15backed Canadiens56c136.16$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe1…edcdbacked Canadiens58c132.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9e…13d2backed Hurricanes45c130.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1054…0f98backed Hurricanes45c129.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd63…42d8backed Canadiens56c125.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9e…ba25backed Hurricanes45c124.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a4…5f6dbacked Hurricanes45c123.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…98bbbacked Hurricanes43c121.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x548f…9d70backed Hurricanes43c118.91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.131040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…cb66backed Hurricanes45c118.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Hurricanes44c116.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.888035%28 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hurricanes44c113.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Hurricanes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Hurricanes44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…eddcbacked Canadiens58c112.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.449100%9 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f1f…f56ebacked Canadiens56c112.54$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f12…c916backed Hurricanes44c110.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.222657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.