TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Czechia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,924,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,157,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,924,503 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bd…238ebacked Czechia23c286,351$65,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,179.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Czechia10c237,503$22,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,596.752737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Czechia10c136,604$13,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,660.41540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Czechia9c84,700$7,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,623714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Canada75c81,605$61,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,424.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Czechia7c75,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,250425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Canada75c64,500$48,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,171.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-80.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Canada79c57,440$45,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,823.141921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Czechia10c47,969$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,796.942634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9c…b9bebacked Czechia46c46,595$21,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,396.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Canada50c31,749$15,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,863.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Czechia9c21,230$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.69520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Czechia9c18,888$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Czechia10c15,400$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Czechia9c14,603$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.6140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Canada58c13,156$7,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,473.62532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed Canada77c12,643$9,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Czechia6c12,144$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.561136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Czechia8c11,732$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.152944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Czechia8c11,536$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.41944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb29…9224backed Canada75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Czechia8c10,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Canada74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Canada75c9,907$7,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Canada76c9,530$7,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Czechia11c9,464$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.81921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f82cbacked Czechia10c7,759$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Czechia10c7,700$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Canada54c7,017$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,228.461233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Canada75c6,666$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Canada77c6,031$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia12c5,914$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.184325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Canada66c5,659$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.071855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Canada75c5,658$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-81%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce57…ac5dbacked Canada38c5,625$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+167.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Czechia11c5,551$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.853941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Czechia9c5,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Czechia30c5,047$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.522321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Czechia9c4,798$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed Czechia9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Czechia8c4,404$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.331428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Canada32c4,007$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Czechia25c4,000$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.672133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Czechia55c3,938$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Canada48c3,751$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Czechia18c3,747$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Czechia8c3,695$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.61127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Czechia16c3,680$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.81100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Canada64c3,337$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.291546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e2…6bc0backed Canada40c3,250$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+110.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Canada38c3,211$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.572437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a8…8026backed Czechia68c3,210$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Canada33c3,068$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.83560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Czechia10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Canada74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Czechia7c2,900$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid-27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Czechia8c2,850$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Canada57c2,688$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.651643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Canada56c2,597$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.13850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Canada59c2,432$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.922540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Czechia17c2,348$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-84.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…b0cfbacked Canada45c2,239$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb99d…1e6abacked Czechia9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Canada75c2,200$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Czechia9c2,107$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70e…a618backed Czechia10c2,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6978…08d8backed Canada68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401030%3 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick67cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Czechia11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e5…d72dbacked Czechia7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14090%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Canada69c1,990$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e1…0ab5backed Czechia10c1,928$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Czechia2c1,800$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Czechia24c1,697$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b40…b77abacked Czechia11c1,650$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d77…64f5backed Czechia19c1,636$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3483…2c80backed Czechia9c1,597$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Czechia12c1,525$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Canada34c1,500$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Canada66c1,500$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc5…247cbacked Czechia14c1,455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fde…095bbacked Czechia30c1,431$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Canada74c1,376$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Czechia20c1,355$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Canada74c1,329$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8879…b58fbacked Czechia18c1,329$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Czechia9c1,254$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6d…ef41backed Canada74c1,230$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc2…7d66backed Czechia10c1,219$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x235a…febdbacked Czechia11c1,209$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Czechia9c1,153$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Canada63c1,101$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.492832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f18…3a5abacked Czechia8c1,099$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+214.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae5…654cbacked Canada71c1,095$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.53366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Czechia49c1,073$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.39248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Czechia24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Canada75c1,030$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a3…02d1backed Czechia12c1,018$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Czechia25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba8…697ebacked Czechia10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Canada68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.