NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b8545adcdf575e34dc40ed12cdd03f7bf3c8b1f52e4c6c8d7c0dd3cb3a72afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Canadiens, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 720 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Canadiens | 45c | 172,859$76,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,993.17 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 56c | 108,612$60,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,128.06 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Sabres | 78c | 68,420$53,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,257.72 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Sabres | 55c | 66,798$36,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,176.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Canadiens | 17c | 60,847$10,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,140.63 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,999.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 45c | 41,000$18,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,449.92 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 38,702$17,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,276.16 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 55c | 35,805$19,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,112.14 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 56c | 35,192$19,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,484.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Canadiens | 46c | 30,433$13,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Canadiens | 25c | 27,892$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Sabres | 58c | 22,385$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,384.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 78c | 18,919$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sabres | 54c | 18,669$10,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,514.2 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sabres | 56c | 18,238$10,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.06 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Canadiens | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 46c | 14,443$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.22 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sabres | 71c | 11,868$8,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.78 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…bf8cbacked Sabres | 55c | 11,350$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 79c | 10,172$8,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.04 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Sabres | 55c | 10,136$5,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Canadiens | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres | 79c | 9,933$7,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.01 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Canadiens | 20c | 9,900$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 54c | 8,500$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.95 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Canadiens | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,421.88 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 45c | 7,101$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.36 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…20cfbacked Canadiens | 46c | 7,059$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 55c | 6,939$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.59 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Canadiens | 0c | 6,661$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 28c | 6,645$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.31 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Sabres | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Canadiens | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 55c | 5,715$3,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Canadiens | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Canadiens | 44c | 5,542$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Canadiens | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.1 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sabres | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 73c | 5,173$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.13 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Sabres | 55c | 5,045$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Sabres | 55c | 4,546$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Sabres | 56c | 4,445$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Canadiens | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Canadiens | 14c | 4,311$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens | 29c | 4,310$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.51 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Canadiens | 16c | 3,865$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 73c | 3,518$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.15 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sabres | 79c | 3,108$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.44 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Canadiens | 31c | 2,600$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Canadiens | 45c | 2,425$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.68 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 22c | 2,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.99 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Canadiens | 15c | 2,264$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.63 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Canadiens | 15c | 2,213$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 54c | 2,157$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.07 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sabres | 53c | 2,125$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.72 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Sabres | 73c | 2,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Sabres | 55c | 1,955$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…afc3backed Sabres | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,800$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.75 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Sabres | 56c | 1,788$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.54 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sabres | 71c | 1,689$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.79 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Canadiens | 9c | 1,641$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Sabres | 72c | 1,528$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Sabres | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Canadiens | 18c | 1,410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens | 41c | 1,379$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 44c | 1,318$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Sabres | 58c | 1,290$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.12 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Canadiens | 4c | 1,271$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sabres | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Canadiens | 9c | 1,125$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…5209backed Canadiens | 44c | 1,102$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…4483backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,064$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.92 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sabres | 55c | 1,063$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.35 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Canadiens | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…5b09backed Canadiens | 21c | 991.9$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 8c | 981.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 54c | 919.35$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.11 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sabres | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Sabres | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…8febbacked Sabres | 55c | 898.55$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…4600backed Sabres | 55c | 898$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…fdb1backed Sabres | 56c | 798.11$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sabres | 79c | 779.87$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7610…0711backed Sabres | 55c | 760$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Sabres | 72c | 758.26$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Canadiens | 38c | 757.14$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…7431backed Canadiens | 47c | 751$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Sabres | 72c | 736.11$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Sabres | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 7c | 723.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Canadiens | 31c | 714.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabresthis page
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.