NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe20fa2d0147b681c2a0a544dce35c1335c5f5ddae523524e698797c26da2e1ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Sabres | 34c | 40,335$13,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,632.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Sabres | 34c | 10,254$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canadiens | 66c | 3,543$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.09 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Canadiens | 66c | 3,477$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Canadiens | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canadiens | 66c | 2,226$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.16 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens | 66c | 1,986$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.7 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canadiens | 66c | 1,807$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.62 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canadiens | 65c | 1,367$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.32 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Canadiens | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Sabres | 67c | 985.45$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Canadiens | 66c | 896.16$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.99 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Sabres | 34c | 875.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 56c | 815.88$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Sabres | 32c | 687$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.16 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sabres | 39c | 615.94$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canadiens | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Canadiens | 55c | 577.16$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.3 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 58c | 531.89$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Canadiens | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Canadiens | 68c | 487.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Canadiens | 7c | 485.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Canadiens | 66c | 460.64$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Sabres | 34c | 415.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Canadiens | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Sabres | 62c | 189.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Sabres | 67c | 170.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 38c | 167.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Canadiens | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Canadiens | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Sabres | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Canadiens | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canadiens | 39c | 145.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Sabres | 34c | 132.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Canadiens | 66c | 120$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Canadiens | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Canadiens | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Canadiens | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Sabres | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canadiens | 21c | 92.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Canadiens | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Canadiens | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Sabres | 54c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sabres | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canadiens | 66c | 66.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sabres | 50c | 64.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens | 50c | 64.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Sabres | 34c | 61.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…b441backed Canadiens | 24c | 59.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Sabres | 46c | 46.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…f961backed Canadiens | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Canadiens | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c4…517dbacked Canadiens | 30c | 36.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Canadiens | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Sabres | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Canadiens | 65c | 32.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…0738backed Canadiens | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Sabres | 71c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Canadiens | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Canadiens | 67c | 24.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Canadiens | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…5488backed Canadiens | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sabres | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…3f1dbacked Canadiens | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…adbabacked Canadiens | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresSabres won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.