NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba72dca7d4a925bc03896e3f702922f589ef01566e12ac0491abe918575fa5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 27c | 1,054$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 778.42$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 525.15$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 71c | 470.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 36c | 335.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 44c | 320$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 32c | 292.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 69c | 289.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.71 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 223.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 60c | 222.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 40c | 222.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 67c | 212.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 63c | 203.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 67c | 197.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 41c | 189.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 44c | 157$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 67c | 156.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 43c | 147.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 78c | 138$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 72c | 135.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 28c | 117.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 96.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 43c | 95.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 93.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 62c | 89.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 38c | 79.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 30c | 65.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 63c | 61.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 61.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…0694backed Under | 66c | 54.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 22c | 48.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 36c | 45.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 40c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Under | 78c | 38.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 47c | 37.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 68c | 32.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 61c | 29.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 63c | 28.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 70c | 23.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…ccabbacked Under | 71c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…7353backed Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…b346backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…3282backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…d7cabacked Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…d42dbacked Under | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…3a14backed Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5this page
- Canadiens vs. SabresSabres won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-2.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.