TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7abc…8af1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 48 out of 100 (-0.02 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category WNBA at 48 out of 100; worst Tennis at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT8524.7%21 W · 64 L-14.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Tennis — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Katarina Zavatska vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Katarina Zavatska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.86
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.33
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.88
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Petr Nesterovbacked Petr Nesterov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.31
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Thiago Monteirobacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
ITF Takasaki: Kanon Sawashiro vs Ayano Shimizubacked Kanon Sawashiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.99
Bengaluru 3: Omar Jasika vs Sidharth Rawatbacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.34
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.77
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Dalila Spiteri vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Dalila Spiteri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Geneva Open, Qualification: Max Hans Rehberg vs Francisco Comesanabacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.21
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.64
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.02
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Ferybacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$56.46
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.62
Oeiras 4: Jaime Faria vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$24.57
Paris (Doubles): Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xubacked Jiang/Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.82
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$62.41
Paris (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Mihalikova/Nichollsbacked Mihalikova/Nicholls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.94
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Dev/Sinha vs Poonacha/Mynenibacked Dev/Sinha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.74
Bengaluru 2 (Doubles): Biryukov/Lomakin vs Kalyanpur/Mukundbacked Kalyanpur/Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.63
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.72
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$69.73
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.16
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.07
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.94
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.97
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.96
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+133.9%+$17.27
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+124%+$18.16
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.41
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.13
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-79.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.