Tennis · resolved market
Paris (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Mihalikova/Nicholls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d43e166eadca82fe7096e3fda99e63bdbb587884c9ee4686f2134d4462c060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aoyama/Liangof Aoyama/Liang, Mihalikova/Nicholls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6407…d360backed Aoyama/Liang | 30c | 206.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Mihalikova/Nicholls | 37c | 164.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Mihalikova/Nicholls | 62c | 160.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Aoyama/Liang | 39c | 113.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Mihalikova/Nicholls | 50c | 106.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Aoyama/Liang | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Aoyama/Liang | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Aoyama/Liang | 60c | 57.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aoyama/Liang | 77c | 55.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mihalikova/Nicholls | 25c | 54.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Aoyama/Liang | 60c | 53.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Mihalikova/Nicholls | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Aoyama/Liang | 29c | 49.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Aoyama/Liang | 61c | 48.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aoyama/Liang | 53c | 38.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Mihalikova/Nicholls | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Aoyama/Liang | 61c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aoyama/Liang | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aoyama/Liang | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Aoyama/Liang | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Mihalikova/Nicholls | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Aoyama/Liang | 59c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.