Tennis · resolved market
Paris (Doubles): Kichenok/Krawczyk vs Jiang/Xu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aee52d25655c6e7b5b4d258435d93233cb41c99d61e8d4d49d12fc600f113d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kichenok/Krawczykof Kichenok/Krawczyk, Jiang/Xu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 4c | 358$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 31c | 211.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Jiang/Xu | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Jiang/Xu | 46c | 185.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Jiang/Xu | 42c | 155.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 48c | 140.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Jiang/Xu | 28c | 129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…b48dbacked Jiang/Xu | 27c | 110.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 73c | 107.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Jiang/Xu | 13c | 100.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 37c | 87.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jiang/Xu | 40c | 84.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 38c | 52.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Jiang/Xu | 36c | 50.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…1fe3backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Jiang/Xu | 39c | 45.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…721bbacked Jiang/Xu | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Jiang/Xu | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…8c97backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 79c | 30.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Kichenok/Krawczyk | 68c | 29.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kichenok/Krawczyk | 76c | 23.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kichenok/Krawczyk | 65c | 22.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.