NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60479ec9ac06f481e8080771231c6c5ca1c12f9b0d26826212a0a5c1c8d04636
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $508,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 690 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Wild | 45c | 62,750$28,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,512.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Avalanche | 55c | 45,500$25,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,025 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Avalanche | 55c | 45,418$24,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,980.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Wild | 46c | 40,700$18,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,978 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 45c | 33,300$14,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,315 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 44c | 29,999$13,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,299.64 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Avalanche | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 54c | 17,439$9,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,417.3 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche | 3c | 15,148$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 24c | 12,467$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 55c | 11,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.92 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 68c | 10,369$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.61 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Wild | 69c | 10,046$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.24 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Wild | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.92 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 45c | 9,307$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.09 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Wild | 45c | 8,673$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.92 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Avalanche | 50c | 8,640$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.19 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 8,197$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.37 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Wild | 48c | 6,666$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.04 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…d95bbacked Avalanche | 2c | 6,641$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 56c | 6,548$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.76 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 44c | 6,145$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.85 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Wild | 45c | 6,089$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Wild | 45c | 5,100$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Wild | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.95 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Wild | 45c | 4,990$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Wild | 45c | 4,976$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Avalanche | 4c | 4,688$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Avalanche | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Avalanche | 56c | 4,285$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Avalanche | 56c | 4,060$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Avalanche | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…3d7fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,950$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche | 41c | 3,890$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Wild | 78c | 3,862$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,713$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.2 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Avalanche | 0c | 3,644$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 9c | 3,485$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.68 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Wild | 45c | 3,260$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.13 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Wild | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.9 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Wild | 68c | 2,525$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.31 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Avalanche | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Wild | 44c | 2,087$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Avalanche | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Wild | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Avalanche | 21c | 1,864$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Wild | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Wild | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,720$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.55 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,710$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Wild | 45c | 1,709$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.24 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Avalanche | 22c | 1,634$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.29 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…c0f2backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 46c | 1,413$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Avalanche | 24c | 1,375$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wild | 45c | 1,364$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.43 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche | 5c | 1,154$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Avalanche | 20c | 1,153$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 44c | 1,100$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.55 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,086$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.24 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wild | 44c | 1,039$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.31 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Wild | 44c | 1,039$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Wild | 68c | 1,018$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Wild | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Avalanche | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Wild | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Avalanche | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…3401backed Avalanche | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Wild | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Avalanche | 55c | 999.93$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild | 57c | 939.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed Avalanche | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Avalanche | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Avalanche | 10c | 880$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 45c | 868.77$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 5c | 859.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Avalanche | 56c | 807.95$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed Avalanche | 9c | 799.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…a89abacked Avalanche | 56c | 779$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3b…07f7backed Avalanche | 56c | 679$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked Wild | 38c | 677.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…fd4abacked Avalanche | 56c | 669.95$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Avalanche | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Wild | 45c | 626.51$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.58 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avalanche | 6c | 623.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Wild | 45c | 558.51$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 11c | 554.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Wild | 44c | 554.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef8…b1e1backed Wild | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 55c | 546.43$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Wild | 69c | 536.49$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Avalanche | 55c | 530.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 519.91$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Avalanche | 23c | 511.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Wildthis page
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.