NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb9daff98546c2469171ea994dd1278380f58243ba322b3c6ef3dfb0d9e369b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 14c | 7,880$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.1 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 8c | 4,101$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wild | 65c | 2,266$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.16 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 4c | 1,825$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avalanche | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Wild | 66c | 1,361$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.77 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…0b58backed Avalanche | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Wild | 66c | 966.71$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wild | 66c | 950.94$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.32 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Avalanche | 9c | 791.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Wild | 66c | 500$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.91 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Wild | 66c | 328.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Avalanche | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Avalanche | 34c | 285.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Avalanche | 34c | 228.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Avalanche | 16c | 219.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Avalanche | 33c | 197.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Avalanche | 16c | 195.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Avalanche | 16c | 183.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Avalanche | 14c | 180.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Avalanche | 6c | 179$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…e36bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…ecb0backed Avalanche | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Avalanche | 16c | 105.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche | 17c | 101.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wild | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wild | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…49a3backed Avalanche | 16c | 77.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Avalanche | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild | 66c | 64.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Avalanche | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Avalanche | 34c | 61.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wild | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Wild | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…4db6backed Wild | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 33c | 36.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Avalanche | 34c | 34.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. WildWild won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.