TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under54c165,592$89,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,527.131822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over47c100,411$47,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,193.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over45c25,000$11,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,25010650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c12,864$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.132,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over45c11,093$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.712146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over45c5,667$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.1520756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over45c3,387$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.3413437.3%50 W · 84 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c3,068$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.7159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,937$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3361959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over45c1,297$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.7314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c1,110$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.833,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over70c1,100$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.8226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c1,005$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.251,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over48c964.9$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.557236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over47c894.66$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c801.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6625449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under39c724.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.642142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58d…fadfbacked Under53c679.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.251926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under54c611.11$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c599.98$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over46c568.33$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.433735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d0e…1461backed Under57c545.61$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under30c533.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+127.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over48c482.31$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under53c466.04$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Over45c453.87$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over43c444.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6222250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over67c405.97$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under53c387.38$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.675653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over62c369.41$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7312357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under45c331.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6524837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c329.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1859852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Under53c319.13$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over47c304.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2776450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over45c296.86$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5935829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…6a24backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over51c201.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8128652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over67c201.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c195$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6847256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c187$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.682,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over44c162.74$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.72850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under52c144.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.451,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over64c140.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2641050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c136.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.081,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.424442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over45c116.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under44c116.35$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3523950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over47c103.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7621355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under53c94.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.344151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c94.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0914347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f1…19a0backed Under53c93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Over55c88.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.26757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over53c74.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.614549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.96154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under24c68.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under53c68.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1850251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c64.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.131,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c63.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4335551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under53c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under19c59.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2934547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…5ff2backed Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under53c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7933745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Over45c55.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.984459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Under53c50.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.563961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6259…c451backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+72.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over53c48.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.826656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Over49c45.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over47c45.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.163953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd7…7336backed Over41c44.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over45c40.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.343644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over70c39.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over63c38.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.012560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.39per pick53cpaid+72%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over51c37.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.222458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Under55c36.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over57c34.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.878469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under45c31.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7538447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over45c31.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c30.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4521253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over45c27.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9d…c024backed Over45c26.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over45c26.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.828847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a52…baafbacked Over70c26.12$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under57c23.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.263253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over64c23.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f9…f5a5backed Under55c21.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over70c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6127659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.49755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under64c16.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.743464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over69c15.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.931833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.