NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68e2c44227a763d2e8e0bbda12efd456ee706b586e23731acfa12e0494c495f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 43c | 42,878$18,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,406.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 38,078$21,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,317.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 1,058$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 56c | 894.55$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 59c | 725.58$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 43c | 698.74$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 41c | 673.34$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 599.99$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Over | 59c | 503.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 79c | 456.93$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 45c | 422.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 45c | 372$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Over | 57c | 363.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 60c | 303$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Over | 57c | 301.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 55c | 236.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 220.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Over | 57c | 214.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 62c | 199.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 62c | 192.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 40c | 177.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.87 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 59c | 150.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 134.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 60c | 130.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Over | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Under | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 111.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 46c | 107.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 44c | 106.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 91.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Over | 66c | 72.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 40c | 65.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 58.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 40c | 58.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 60c | 56.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…1480backed Over | 49c | 55.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 55.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 53.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Over | 58c | 53.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 59c | 51.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…53c2backed Over | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Under | 43c | 46.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 30c | 43.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 40.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…22a7backed Over | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Over | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 57c | 33.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 66c | 28.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 66c | 28.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 72c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…78f7backed Over | 57c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 72c | 26.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 68c | 26.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 60c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…7336backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. WildWild won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.