TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdddd…6777

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$83.39
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.9
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.97
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.88
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$45.67
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$97.6
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.16
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$44.74
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$67.13
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$64.6
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.62
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.01
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$91.35
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.