UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41940efaacc25ca56324e3750474d7e5750d1d43ffbb2349c22579cb9d0f93f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shane Collinsof Otari Tanzilovi, Shane Collins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2ef…f31ebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 8c | 13,557$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 18c | 6,950$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.86 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Shane Collins | 75c | 6,226$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.06 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 11c | 6,122$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.03 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Otari Tanzilovi | 34c | 5,676$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.89 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Otari Tanzilovi | 25c | 5,271$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.2 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 34c | 5,235$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.78 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Shane Collins | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0be…9164backed Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 3,489$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shane Collins | 65c | 2,953$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.26 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Shane Collins | 65c | 2,840$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.03 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 10c | 2,400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 38c | 1,580$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Shane Collins | 72c | 1,537$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.91 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Shane Collins | 76c | 1,482$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 10c | 1,202$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.6 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Shane Collins | 67c | 1,181$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.09 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Shane Collins | 62c | 1,071$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.74 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Otari Tanzilovi | 18c | 1,026$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 30c | 1,008$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 980$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Shane Collins | 54c | 979.95$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.95 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Shane Collins | 64c | 918.52$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Shane Collins | 66c | 910$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.4 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shane Collins | 62c | 846.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Otari Tanzilovi | 51c | 758.45$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…a64bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 24c | 730.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Otari Tanzilovi | 22c | 611.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Shane Collins | 54c | 609.83$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shane Collins | 64c | 589.88$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Otari Tanzilovi | 41c | 541.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…ac37backed Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 537$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Shane Collins | 70c | 500.03$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Shane Collins | 66c | 492.42$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Shane Collins | 62c | 478$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Otari Tanzilovi | 9c | 457.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shane Collins | 79c | 440$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Shane Collins | 64c | 430$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 22c | 419.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 417.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Otari Tanzilovi | 6c | 408$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Otari Tanzilovi | 12c | 403$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 378$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Shane Collins | 53c | 369.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.87 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 5c | 346.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 32c | 344.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Otari Tanzilovi | 34c | 343.04$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Shane Collins | 66c | 330.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Otari Tanzilovi | 13c | 327.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Otari Tanzilovi | 8c | 309$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Shane Collins | 66c | 301.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Otari Tanzilovi | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Otari Tanzilovi | 9c | 284.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Shane Collins | 62c | 277.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Otari Tanzilovi | 12c | 269$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…e8c1backed Otari Tanzilovi | 37c | 268.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Otari Tanzilovi | 4c | 252.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…be89backed Shane Collins | 78c | 241$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Shane Collins | 77c | 227.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Shane Collins | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Shane Collins | 66c | 225.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Otari Tanzilovi | 8c | 224.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…ce5abacked Shane Collins | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Otari Tanzilovi | 8c | 217.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…6ab2backed Shane Collins | 62c | 208.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 20c | 203.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shane Collins | 80c | 201.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Otari Tanzilovi | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…a029backed Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Shane Collins | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Shane Collins | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Otari Tanzilovi | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Shane Collins | 62c | 167.27$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Otari Tanzilovi | 14c | 166.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 163.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Shane Collins | 61c | 157.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Shane Collins | 66c | 151.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Shane Collins | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Shane Collins | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…a7b9backed Shane Collins | 66c | 146.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shane Collins | 62c | 144.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Otari Tanzilovi | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Otari Tanzilovi | 30c | 134.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Shane Collins | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Otari Tanzilovi | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Shane Collins | 77c | 112.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Otari Tanzilovi | 36c | 112.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Shane Collins | 64c | 109.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.