UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488e362388d988c27f364a4b29ece104fbe246ec7dc579eba4747fde00bd8373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 44c | 100,000$43,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,959.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 56c | 48,641$27,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,403.32 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 56c | 30,524$17,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,430.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 56c | 7,234$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 61c | 4,569$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +62%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Over | 56c | 4,018$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.86 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 48c | 1,440$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Over | 54c | 1,327$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.1 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…abc0backed Over | 56c | 1,169$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…587ebacked Over | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 39c | 635.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 41c | 624.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 57c | 619.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Over | 59c | 582.98$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under | 43c | 357.27$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 55c | 349.81$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 38c | 339.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 60c | 317.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.16 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Over | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Over | 61c | 312.02$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.02 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 52c | 269$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 56c | 256.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Over | 61c | 256.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Over | 61c | 256.1$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 56c | 220.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed Under | 43c | 218.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Over | 56c | 205.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…71f5backed Over | 56c | 191.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 56c | 179.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Under | 41c | 175.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…6777backed Over | 61c | 172.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 56c | 170$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Over | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583d…d79bbacked Under | 41c | 149.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 18c | 147.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Over | 56c | 135$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Under | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf538…6896backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…cfe0backed Over | 56c | 101.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 41c | 98.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Over | 62c | 81.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 61c | 75.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 59c | 68.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…5295backed Over | 62c | 65.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Over | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Under | 41c | 60.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…0c7bbacked Under | 44c | 54.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…afecbacked Over | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…a6d5backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Over | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4589…5ea9backed Over | 61c | 48.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…ebd0backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…64e6backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 40.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…4e79backed Over | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…6a72backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9157…361ebacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…b993backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 44c | 30.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…86f8backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Over | 60c | 28.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded6…f649backed Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…5633backed Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…db2ebacked Over | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf04c…bdf3backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…41d7backed Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…39e4backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f3…c784backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e1…b64dbacked Over | 61c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Diego Lopes won
- Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Steve Garcia win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.