TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95e1…b64d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Nazim Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michal Oleksiejczuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.22
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.84
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29.37
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$28.63
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.79
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.51
Will the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.05
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.48
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$57.88
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$11.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.58
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$27.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki (Cruiserweight, Main)backed Rozicki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.