NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bce56173b5d19adedb62a49ec86c662083ea255cbf4c31fc5b2b55b514dffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,086,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,254,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,086,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 50c | 500,000$248,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248,000 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers | 51c | 321,337$163,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,584.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cavaliers | 52c | 310,600$161,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,731.1 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 302,308$151,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,938.01 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 276,529$138,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,264.57 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 50c | 175,000$87,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,500 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pistons | 48c | 133,933$64,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,330.11 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 116,100$60,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,727.85 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pistons | 49c | 100,000$48,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,899.97 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cavaliers | 52c | 98,666$51,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,359.6 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons | 48c | 90,000$43,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,400 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Pistons | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pistons | 48c | 52,678$25,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,177.55 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 50c | 52,209$26,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,991.3 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 50,687$26,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,329.8 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 42,453$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,952.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pistons | 48c | 40,996$19,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,548.66 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Pistons | 48c | 35,417$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 48c | 33,529$16,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,148.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons | 48c | 28,125$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Pistons | 48c | 24,896$11,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,950 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Pistons | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.92 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…1f29backed Pistons | 48c | 18,750$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 15,773$7,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Pistons | 48c | 13,284$6,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,376.48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Pistons | 47c | 13,251$6,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.96 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Pistons | 49c | 13,155$6,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,446.02 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pistons | 49c | 12,072$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.39 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Pistons | 50c | 11,600$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 10,639$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 49c | 10,543$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.78 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Pistons | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Pistons | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…2788backed Pistons | 48c | 9,238$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Pistons | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,590 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…c0d5backed Pistons | 48c | 8,963$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pistons | 49c | 8,833$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.63 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Pistons | 48c | 8,731$4,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.94 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 47c | 8,562$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.22 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 24c | 8,543$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,338$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.11 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,330$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…fe64backed Pistons | 51c | 7,631$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Pistons | 48c | 7,083$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.84 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Pistons | 50c | 6,955$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.34 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 48c | 6,937$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Pistons | 48c | 6,722$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.56 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,159$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.56 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pistons | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Pistons | 48c | 5,981$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.1 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,888$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.05 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Pistons | 50c | 5,701$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.69 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,625$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 53c | 5,512$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.93 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Pistons | 48c | 5,200$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Pistons | 48c | 5,107$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Pistons | 49c | 4,510$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.7 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,433$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.69 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Pistons | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 4,075$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.69 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Pistons | 48c | 4,007$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.22 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 49c | 4,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Pistons | 47c | 3,692$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.4 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Pistons | 48c | 3,139$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.68 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pistons | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Pistons | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Pistons | 47c | 2,592$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.97 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,354$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.45 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Pistons | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Pistons | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Pistons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pistons | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Pistons | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…911fbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,930$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,916$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.77 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Pistons | 49c | 1,852$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb60…03ddbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,849$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,845$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.85 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Over won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Cavaliers won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.